FXUS64 KJAN 241142 AFDJAN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jackson MS 542 AM CST Mon Jan 24 2022 .UPDATE... Updated for 12Z aviation discussion && .AVIATION... 12Z TAF discussion: VFR in the short term, with south/southwesterly winds. Clouds increase with the storm system moving along the Gulf Coast today...but remaining VFR until after 00Z. Northern edge of the IFR stratus overnight is still in question...and for now have held it back from GLH/GWO/GTR. SHRA after 03Z or so in PIB/HBG && .DISCUSSION... Today and Tonight... Increasing clouds edging into the forecast area today as a developing storm system moves out of south Texas...and skirts along the edge of the Gulf Coast. Models have been slowly pushing the system a little further south, with the best chances for precipitation along and south of the I-20 corridor. In the meantime, this morning will remain dry, and much of the afternoon/early evening. Winds are out of the southwest, advecting some slightly warmer air into the region. Today's high temperatures will climb to the upper 50s/lower 60s in spite of the increasing cloud cover. Precip chances creep into far SW MS and NE LA just before 00Z. Warm enough to be rain, the showers will spread over the southern half of the forecast area...retreating to the SE before dawn as the system moves further east along the coast. Tuesday through Sunday...Rain will exit the forecast area through early Tuesday afternoon, with clouds following suit Tuesday night as a dry cold front pushes southeast through the region. Strong cold advection across the area will result in a return to colder conditions Tuesday night through mid-week. With lows both Tuesday and Wednesday nights generally residing in the 20s, except lower 30s across Southeast Mississippi Tuesday night. While highs Tuesday range from the middle 40s to middle 50s, highs Wednesday afternoon will struggle to climb out of the 40s in most locations, under breezy northerly winds. Another slight warmup is expected on Thursday. Conditions currently look to remain dry Thursday through the upcoming weekend. However, another dry cold front moving through the CWA Friday, will again result in colder conditions returning to the forecast area Friday into Saturday. Finally, as we move into Sunday, conditions will begin to moderate up. /19/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 61 43 51 27 / 3 40 11 0 Meridian 60 43 51 26 / 0 38 17 0 Vicksburg 60 44 50 27 / 11 40 7 0 Hattiesburg 60 43 55 32 / 3 69 36 0 Natchez 59 44 52 26 / 25 61 11 0 Greenville 61 37 47 24 / 1 10 2 0 Greenwood 60 41 46 24 / 0 11 4 0 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. && $$ HJS